Accountability
Audit, Decision Memory & Backtesting
Append-only event history with a hash chain, the institutional record of major decisions, and how last quarter's forecasts actually performed.
Chain Integrity
INTACT
Every event links to its predecessor
Recorded Events
0
Human, agent and system actors
Forecast Accuracy
98.1%
6 backtested periods · MAPE 1.9%
Feed Confidence
85%
Measured reliability × freshness
Event History
Append only. Entries are never edited or removed.
| Time | Actor | Action | Target | Change | Result | Hash |
|---|
Decision Memory
What was decided, on what information, and what actually happened.
Hold reserve at 6 months rather than deploy into the investment mandate
Recommendation: Retain cash; revisit after the milestone settles
Approved by christopherxreyes@gmail.com
Assumptions
- · Milestone payment lands within 45 days
- · No new payroll additions
Predicted — Reserve coverage stays above policy; forgone yield ≈ $34k
Actual — Milestone landed on day 51; reserve held. Forgone yield $31.8k.
Refinance the revolving credit line
Recommendation: Defer — covenant headroom too thin at current liquidity
Approved by christopherxreyes@gmail.com
Assumptions
- · Rates unchanged for 2 quarters
Predicted — Interest cost unchanged; covenant breach avoided
Actual — Outcome pending
Forecast Backtesting
Models that repeatedly miss lose weighting in the forecast engine.
| Period | Metric | Forecast | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | Monthly revenueMarketplace settlement slipped across the month boundary | $452k | $441k | 2.4% |
| 2026-05 | Monthly revenueLicensing true-up recognized early | $458k | $470k | -2.5% |
| 2026-06 | Monthly revenueWithin tolerance | $466k | $463k | 0.6% |
| 2026-05 | Operating expenseCloud infrastructure increase not yet modelled | $388k | $401k | -3.3% |
| 2026-06 | Operating expenseWithin tolerance | $399k | $400k | -0.3% |
| 2026-07 | Closing cashReceivable past terms | $1910k | $1868k | 2.2% |